Live Polar Vortex forecast maps from ECMWF and GFS, updated twice a day, with my latest analysis and long-range outlook for ...

In February 1983, a blizzard buried Washington, Baltimore, and Philadelphia in up to two feet of snow. In January 2016, another historic blizzard shut down the same cities. Both events struck during ...

We continue to track the growth of a Super El Niño event, as it will be a major global weather driver for 2026/2027. This event is an area of strong above-normal ocean temperature in the ENSO region ...

Andrej Flis is a senior meteorologist and seasonal forecaster with 20 years of learning and experience, specializing in large-scale atmospheric dynamics, teleconnections, and long-range climate trends ...

The troposphere is the lowest layer of Earth’s atmosphere. All life on our planet is affected by changes in this layer. Also, all the weather changes take place in the troposphere. It starts from the ...

This is the seasonal forecast for two-meter height temperature anomalies from the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system. Climatology is from the model hindcast (1993-2016).

Tropical activity over the Western Pacific has ramped up this week. Right now, two monster tropical cyclones, Ragasa and Neoguri, are ongoing. Both have rapidly intensified into Super Typhoon status, ...

A powerful Super El Niño continues to build in the Pacific. This creates what I call an atmospheric hurricane shield for the United States, lowering the overall risk of Atlantic hurricane development ...

The historic atmospheric Heat Dome is dominating Europe and has obliterated June and all-time high temperature records in the UK, France, Benelux, Germany, and Switzerland. The deadly heatwave is now ...

The 2026 Super El Niño continues its historic rapid intensification across the equatorial Pacific ahead of Winter 2026/2027. New oceanic and atmospheric data confirm another major jump in strength.

A new Polar Vortex is now forming over the North Pole, with rapid stratospheric cooling and a pressure drop already visible in the latest data. It is starting the season stronger than last year, but ...