Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 gubernatorial race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and a chart showing which party will govern more Americans after the midterms.4 ...

This is the landing page the FLIPR 1 2026 Senate forecast. 2 This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our ...

Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 House race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and which states are likeliest to decide control of the chamber. Below, you’ll find our ...

Despite football’s reputation for being less analytics-friendly than basketball or baseball, there is a lot of data to work with. The NFL is now in its 107th season. There’s now a quarter-century’s ...

In Michigan, Jocelyn Benson is polling well ahead of Abdul El-Sayed. Do gaps like that tend to shrink on Election Day?

They’re nothing new, but they may be a growing threat. Plus, the story of the 2026 campaign through political ads in Still ...

I don’t mean to suggest that FiveThirtyEight invented the concept of systematic polling error, but the FiveThirtyEight/Silver ...