Below, you’ll find our forecast for each 2026 gubernatorial race, along with how our numbers have changed over time and a chart showing which party will govern more Americans after the midterms.4 ...

This is the landing page the FLIPR 1 2026 Senate forecast. 2 This page is designed to be viewed on the web rather than in our ...

In Michigan, Jocelyn Benson is polling well ahead of Abdul El-Sayed. Do gaps like that tend to shrink on Election Day?

Still Counting Episode 7 is ready. This episode is a little bit on the longer side. The original plan was to tell the story of the 2026 campaign through the ubiquitous ads that you’re undoubtedly ...

I don’t mean to suggest that FiveThirtyEight invented the concept of systematic polling error, but the FiveThirtyEight/Silver ...

Mr. Irrelevant” has the NFL’s highest QBERT rating so far this season. It’s time to stop holding his draft position against ...

Can Democrats still win the Senate if the polls overestimate them? And how ugly could the map get for Republicans if the ...